Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-23 1.170399 1.360559 1.564370 1.798220 2.058259 2.337690 2.659786
2025-03-02 0.823818 1.082004 1.384222 1.759949 2.210172 2.727939 3.363756
2025-03-09 0.619375 0.911600 1.282148 1.776009 2.405728 3.170349 4.156446
2025-03-16 0.467827 0.768600 1.179786 1.763328 2.548756 3.547164 4.887609
2025-03-23 0.386919 0.700552 1.158043 1.842092 2.803826 4.071138 5.825997
2025-03-30 0.321482 0.639101 1.131520 1.903628 3.031952 4.565933 6.746736
2025-04-06 0.252146 0.554603 1.054697 1.877945 3.128353 4.881059 7.436826
2025-04-13 0.208648 0.503594 1.020251 1.907568 3.300259 5.302841 8.284555
2025-04-20 0.170875 0.453618 0.978372 1.917558 3.438529 5.678536 9.078860
2025-04-27 0.140702 0.410839 0.941316 1.928732 3.575136 6.053714 9.882741
2025-05-04 0.113885 0.367747 0.896142 1.919205 3.674754 6.374588 10.616228
2025-05-11 0.089170 0.321845 0.837459 1.877834 3.716539 6.605947 11.222601
2025-05-18 0.073366 0.294136 0.812335 1.897214 3.864834 7.015104 12.121777
2025-05-25 0.056991 0.258877 0.765262 1.870250 3.932325 7.301571 12.848848
2025-06-01 0.046753 0.237708 0.745318 1.892788 4.085881 7.729870 13.806431
2025-06-08 0.036705 0.212474 0.710975 1.881945 4.177778 8.060708 14.622678
2025-06-15 0.032500 0.206395 0.722234 1.965879 4.446117 8.690404 15.926160
2025-06-22 0.028112 0.197552 0.724815 2.031082 4.682494 9.274555 17.173400
2025-06-29 0.021490 0.175208 0.687155 2.004292 4.742915 9.563815 17.956410
2025-07-06 0.017703 0.163464 0.676276 2.035539 4.915124 10.048006 19.066035
2025-07-13 0.014106 0.149960 0.657434 2.046086 5.046563 10.465377 20.076901
2025-07-20 0.011201 0.137839 0.640073 2.057853 5.180110 10.889799 21.109305
2025-07-27 0.008525 0.124297 0.614997 2.047844 5.268204 11.235924 22.019653